Last year broke a streak of four straight seasons where a last-place team rose to win its division the following year. Six of the eight division winners repeated as champions, while the other two were runners-up who made the playoffs the previous season. Still, many surprisingly successful teams emerged, contributing to the sleeper and breakout Fantasy football picks. The Washington Commanders transitioned from last to second in the NFC East, claiming a Wild Card spot, aided by Jayden Daniels, who finished as the fifth best QB in Fantasy football, and steps into 2025 as a top QB choice for Fantasy drafts.

The Commanders enhanced their offense with a trade for Deebo Samuel, raising questions about the Fantasy viability of Washington players as you finalize your draft strategy for 2025. For accurate rankings and cheat sheets, you can check out the proven model from SportsLine. Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins RB Raheem Mostert would underperform his ADP (RB23), resulting in him finishing at RB60.

The model’s previous successes include identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout in 2021, and forecasting C.J. Stroud’s decline in 2024.

SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football busts for 2025.

Derrick Henry

Top 2025 Fantasy Football Busts

One player projected as a bust by the model is Ravens RB Derrick Henry. While he has consistently performed well, rushing for over 1,000 yards six times in his career, concerns grow as he approaches 31.

Henry is currently rated seventh among RBs, but trends suggest a decline in production after that age.

Another potential bust is Texans QB C.J. Stroud. After an impressive rookie year, he saw a decline in his performance in year two even after acquiring new offensive stars. Currently, Stroud is regarded as a viable QB1 despite his drop in the rankings.

To explore all busts predicted for the 2025 Fantasy football season, check out SportsLine.