The SportsLine Projection Model was developed and powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of our team’s picks and content at our blog, providing all our best bets for free. Over two decades, we have reverse engineered oddsmakers’ models resulting in 85-90% of our projections aligning with the oddsmaker’s lines.

Nothing in Week 1 questioned our pre-season power rankings. The Bills and Ravens emerged as the top teams in the AFC, while expectations are lower for the Patriots. The Packers have shown they are the best in the NFC North, and the Saints may be more competitive than anticipated.

Betting Insights

• Buffalo Bills +650 (FanDuel) and Baltimore Ravens +750 (FanDuel) to Win Super Bowl

Both teams started at approximately +700, but the Bills are now shorter due to a recent win. Their combined implied odds suggest great value against our estimated 38% probability.

• Green Bay Packers

Our rankings project the Packers to have a better chance than expected, especially with their relatively easy schedule and key player acquisitions.

• Indianapolis Colts Over 7.5 Wins (-140 DraftKings)

With recent improvements, we predict they can achieve more than initially expected based on performance metrics.