In Week 1 of the NFL season, it’s vital not to jump to conclusions based solely on the initial performances, particularly when considering efficiency or touchdowns. Instead, minor adjustments in volume and projected splits can be made based on Week 1’s data. Rookies, and those we were uncertain about coming into this year, often show quicker shifts in projections compared to established veterans.

This week’s waiver acquisitions highlight the wide receiver position, which is undergoing substantial changes in expected target distribution. Notably, Marquise Brown has increased target expectations due to Xavier Worthy’s injury, while Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston from the Chargers benefit from an improved passing scheme.

Meanwhile, Cedric Tillman’s performance in Week 1, where he recorded five catches for 52 yards and one touchdown, puts him on the fantasy radar, especially coupled with Joe Flacco leading the Browns’ high-pass volume offense.

Here are some key numbers to keep an eye on:

• Marquise Brown had a superb 42.1% target share in Week 1, though facing PHI in Week 2 could pose a challenge.
• Notably, nine wideouts participated in every drop-back during their games, with Cooper Kupp and others achieving this despite lower target shares.
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba commanded a significant share of his routes but may be on the verge of becoming a hot fantasy prospect.
• Emerging from the Browns, DJ Moore demonstrated competence in rushing plays, leading to increased scoring potential.

For those on the lookout for waiver wire candidates, both Marquise Brown and Keenan Allen are recommended adds for different strategic reasons, with strong ties to their quarterbacks and robust target shares.