Every Thursday during the college football season, I will share my favorite betting spots for the upcoming week. An example of a “spot” play is Vanderbilt’s surprising win over Alabama from last season.

The Commodores were heading home after two losses, while Alabama came off an emotional victory against Georgia. Vanderbilt pulled off the upset as a 23-point underdog. Similar opportunities will arise as the season progresses, influenced by travel, outcomes, and injuries.

Currently, Vanderbilt finds itself in a similar position, facing a Crimson Tide still reeling from a win over Georgia. Although they might be in a good spot, Alabama is seeking revenge, creating a balance that nullifies the edge for both teams.

For clarity, I will always indicate if I personally bet on a game. Sometimes I favor a team but the statistical value may not warrant an official pick.

Here are three strong betting spots for Week 6:

UAB +7.5 vs. Army

I understand UAB isn’t the best team, but why is Army favored by over a touchdown on the road? Their defense is struggling, conceding 31 points per game, making it hard to cover a 7.5 spread while away from home.

UAB’s offense, led by quarterback Jalen Kitna, has consistently scored at least 24 points in all games this season. They’ve faced tough opponents like Tennessee and Navy. Despite weather-related delays affecting the Navy game, where they had a solid 24 points at halftime, UAB’s bye week should enhance their readiness against Army’s unique gameplay.

Notably, this is Army’s second consecutive road game, giving UAB a considerable rest advantage. Recently, Army’s performance has declined, and UAB can maintain the gap within a touchdown at home. Also, consider betting UAB’s team total over 24.5 points.

Louisville -6.5 vs. No. 24 Virginia

Virginia is in a difficult position after their unexpected win over Florida State in front of a national audience. They’ll need to refocus on this tough matchup against a good Louisville side. The Cardinals have been underrated early on, showing they are contenders for the ACC championship.

Despite this, I haven’t placed a bet on Louisville yet, as the adverse situation for Virginia is already incorporated into the line. I value Louisville at -6 here, but the line shifted from -7.5 to 6.5; therefore, I await its final movement by Saturday. If one is hesitant to lay the 6.5, Louisville offers great leverage in money line parlays.

No. 9 Texas -6.5 at Florida

This matchup benefits Texas tremendously. Both teams are coming off byes, albeit with different pressures. The Gators are on a three-game losing streak, and speculation surrounds head coach Billy Napier’s future. This doesn’t bode well for Florida.

Texas holds a considerable advantage defensively, while Florida struggles to score points this season. Quarterback DJ Lagway has more interceptions than touchdowns, which has hindered the Gators’ scoring abilities in recent matches against teams like South Florida and LSU.

Furthermore, I anticipate Arch Manning increasing his rushing attempts to exploit Florida’s weakened defensive line. Over the last three seasons under Coach Steve Sarkisian, Texas has excelled in away games, claiming 11 consecutive road victories and succeeding against the spread. Despite not reaching their peak performance yet, Texas may finally showcase it.

Florida could find itself flat post-bye, leading to a blowout. Even should Florida attempt a rally, Texas is likely to overwhelm them and cover the 6.5-point spread.