The third signature event of the PGA Tour schedule begins on Thursday, the 2025 Genesis Invitational. Riviera Country Club normally plays host, but it has been relocated to Torrey Pines Golf Course due to the wildfires that have affected Southern California. The Tiger Woods Foundation is the organizer of the Genesis Invitational 2025, but the charity’s namesake won’t compete in the wake of his mother’s death. There are still numerous golf longshots in the 2025 Genesis Invitational field, outside of the favorites like Scottie Scheffler (7-2) and Rory McIlroy (7-1).

Harris English won at Torrey Pines three weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open, but he’s still one of the Genesis Invitational sleepers at 60-1. Meanwhile, defending tournament winner Hideki Matsuyama is 22-1, while another PGA Tour longshot, two-time Genesis winner Adam Scott, could garner a 90-1 payout. Major champions like Justin Rose (150-1), Wyndham Clark (100-1) and Matt Fitzpatrick (120-1) could also be longshots to back, but which golfers with long odds should you consider this week? Before locking in your 2025 Genesis Invitational picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters – its third Masters in a row – and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings, and Fanatics.

Now that the 2025 Genesis Invitational field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. Here are three Genesis Invitational sleepers to target:

Tommy Fleetwood (40-1)

Tommy Fleetwood, a 40-1 longshot, is coming off a season in which he displayed his all-around game. Fleetwood ranked among the top 35 on tour in the strokes gained categories of: tee-to-green, off-the-tee and around-the-green, and he leveraged those abilities into a third-place finish at the 2024 Masters. With Torrey Pines being one of the longest courses on tour, success with a driver will be paramount, and Fleetwood has just that as he ranked seventh in total driving and 11th in driving accuracy percentage a year ago.

Shane Lowry (40-1)

Shane Lowry (40-1) is coming off a runner-up at Pebble Beach two weeks ago, giving him his second top-three finish over his last three tournaments. Lowry always seems to find himself in contention as he’s notched eight top-15s over his past 10 events. With that kind of stretch, it comes as no surprise that he ranks fourth on the PGA Tour this season in strokes gained: total.

Sepp Straka (50-1)

The current leader in the FedEx Cup standings, Sepp Straka (50-1) has been nearly flawless this year. He picked up his third PGA Tour win in January, has five top-15s over his last six events, and has shot par or better in 24 of 25 rounds this year. The Austrian is showing no holes in his game at the moment, as he ranks among the top eight in scoring average for par 3s, par 4s and par 5s. Considering there are 18 golfers with equal or shorter odds, Straka would be a steal with 2025 Genesis Invitational bets.