The latest Fantasy basketball ADP (Average Draft Position) is becoming more solid as the 2025-26 NBA season approaches, which kicks off on Tuesday, October 21, featuring two matchups: the Rockets face the defending champions, the Thunder, while the Warriors take on the Lakers.

Topping the 2025 Fantasy basketball ADP are the highly regarded Nikola Jokic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Victor Wembanyama.

Can you depend on these top Fantasy basketball choices, and which sleepers, breakouts, and busts should you target or avoid during the upcoming draft?

Make sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the renowned SportsLine model before finalizing your selections.

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The SportsLine model simulates each season 10,000 times, developed by the same team providing projections across all major Fantasy platforms. These rankings are updated multiple times daily.

Last year, the model correctly predicted Stephon Castle’s breakout, suggesting he would finish 25 positions higher than the consensus ADP among guards. Ultimately, Castle was named NBA Rookie of the Year, averaging 14.7 points, 4.1 assists, and 3.7 rebounds per game, placing him as the No. 51 guard in average Fantasy points.

The model also pinpointed James Harden as a sleeper last season, leading him to his first All-Star season in three years, and accurately forecasted breakout campaigns for Paolo Banchero and Victor Wembanyama, who also earned Rookie of the Year honors.

Now, SportsLine has completed its extensive NBA season simulations and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings for 2025-26, including numerous sleepers, breakouts and busts. View the rankings here.

Top Fantasy Basketball Sleepers 2025

One prominent sleeper anticipated by the model is Kevin Porter Jr., guard for the Milwaukee Bucks, who is often excluded from the top 100 picks in draft boards. Despite a rocky first half of last season with the LA Clippers, he significantly improved after being traded to the Bucks, hitting 40.8% of his three-point shots in his last 30 games while averaging 11.7 points per game.

In the playoffs, Porter maintained his hot shooting, making 46.7% of his three-pointers and averaging 11.2 points across five games. He’s expected to start as the Bucks’ point guard and is among just two team members averaging 2.9 assists or more, boasting a career average of 4.6 assists per game. Explore more Fantasy sleepers here.

Key Fantasy Basketball Breakouts 2025

The model also identifies Isaiah Collier, the Jazz point guard, as a notable breakout candidate with an ADP of 137. Collier, the top prospect in 2023, excelled at USC, was selected 29th overall by Utah in 2024 and ultimately seized the starting role from All-Rookie selection Keyonte George. He averaged 15.9 points and 7.1 assists over his last seven games as a rookie.

Given that Utah has decided to embrace a youth-focused strategy by trading away veterans like Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, and John Collins, 21-year-old Collier is likely to gain ample opportunities in a fast-paced offense that ranked fifth last season. The model projects Collier surpassing Klay Thompson and Jalen Suggs in performance, despite their higher draft positions. Find out more about Fantasy breakouts here.

Fantasy Basketball Busts to Avoid

As for players to steer clear from, the model points to Pelicans guard Jordan Poole as a bust, following his offseason trade from Washington to New Orleans, where he will have to complement Zion Williamson.

The Pelicans have also added two lottery picks, Derik Queen and Jeremiah Fears, which may reduce Poole’s scoring chances as the season unfolds.

Currently, he is being picked in the seventh round; however, SportsLine’s model argues that players like Jrue Holiday and Immanuel Quickly, being selected later, are more valuable finds. Be cautious with these Fantasy busts as well.

Discovering Reliable Fantasy Basketball Rankings 2025-26

SportsLine is also enthusiastic about a forward who might surprise many by not being viewed as a top draft pick. This individual ranks among the top three options in his position, ahead of stars like Kevin Durant and Paolo Banchero. Discover who it is and access the complete Fantasy basketball rankings at SportsLine.

Ultimately, who should you target and avoid among the 2025-26 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts, and busts, and which forward has emerged as a top-tier player? Visit SportsLine now to access the Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every position, curated by a model renowned for its accuracy in Fantasy picks.