
Two teams heading in opposite directions square off in NFL Week 9 as the New England Patriots (6-2) host the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) on Paramount+. Drake Maye and the Patriots have won five straight games, most recently defeating the Cleveland Browns 32-13. The Falcons, however, lost their second consecutive game in Week 8, falling 34-10 to the Miami Dolphins with backup quarterback Kirk Cousins under center.
Kickoff from Gillette Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. New England is a 5.5-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Patriots betting odds according to SportsLine consensus, while the total score is projected at 45.5 points. The Patriots are -248 money line favorites (risk $248 to win $100), whereas the Falcons are +202 underdogs. Before making any bets on the Patriots vs. Falcons matchup, be sure to check out the NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection Model. Don’t forget to tune into the game on CBS and Paramount+, where new users can avail of a free one-week trial. Sign up here.
Where to Bet on Patriots vs. Falcons
Where to Watch Falcons vs. Patriots This Sunday
- When: Sunday, Nov. 2
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Stream: Paramount+
- Follow along: CBS Sports App
Patriots vs. Falcons Betting Preview
- Odds: Patriots -5.5, over/under 45.5
Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr has returned from injury and Atlanta will be eager for his return after Cousins threw for 173 yards without a touchdown against Miami. Bijan Robinson managed only 25 yards in that game, facing a Patriots run defense that permits just 76.0 rushing yards per game. Although the Falcons have kept opposing quarterbacks to a league-low average of 149.1 yards per game, they face a challenge against a New England offense that is on the rise.
Maye leads the league in completion percentage (75.2%) and recently achieved 282 passing yards and three touchdowns against a formidable Browns defense. Third-year receiver Kayshon Boutte has found the end zone in three consecutive games and Stefon Diggs scored his first touchdown of the season against the Browns. The Patriots’ defense is performing well, allowing an average of just 18.3 points per game. They have rebounded since a loss laden with errors to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3 and enter Week 9 with a positive turnover ratio of +2.
Model Predictions for Falcons vs. Patriots
New England is 6-2-0 against the spread (ATS) and has covered in five consecutive games, while Atlanta is 3-4-0 ATS, having failed to cover in their last two games. Historical precedent favors the Patriots, who have won the last seven encounters dating back to 2001. The SportsLine model forecasts that New England will cover the spread 53% of the time.
Falcons vs. Patriots Score Prediction: Patriots 26, Falcons 20
Same Game Parlay Options
- Patriots -4.5
- Under 45.5
- Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown scorer (-129)
Additional NFL Picks for Week 9
You’ve seen the model’s recommendations for the Patriots vs. Falcons match. Now, find against the spread, total, and money-line picks for every NFL Week 9 game here, based on simulations run 10,000 times.


