The South Florida Bulls are set to compete against the UTSA Roadrunners this Thursday, as both teams contend for a spot in the American Athletic Conference championship. UTSA recently earned a decisive 48-26 victory over Tulane on October 30, while USF aims to recover from a 31-24 defeat against Memphis on October 25. Currently, the Roadrunners hold a 4-4 overall record and are 2-2 in the AAC, ranking eighth in the league, having struggled on the road with 1-3 this season. Conversely, the Bulls are performing well with a 6-2 record and tied for fourth in the AAC, standing undefeated at home with a 4-0 scoreline.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. In their previous encounter in 2023, UTSA triumphed over USF with a score of 49-21. The latest odds indicate that the Bulls are favored by 14 points, and the over/under for total points is set at 67.5, according to SportsLine. In terms of the moneyline, USF is at -610 (wagering $610 to win $100), and UTSA punctuated at +445 (wagering $100 to win $445).

Before placing any bets, consider the insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each FBS game 10,000 times and has historically generated over $2,000 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated college spread picks. See detailed predictions here.

Why South Florida Can Cover

Senior quarterback Byrum Brown leads the Bulls’ offense, having made 154 completions from 245 attempts for 1,964 yards (62.9%) across eight starts, resulting in 17 touchdowns and six interceptions with a 148.2 rating. Additionally, he has rushed 120 times for 596 yards (5.0 per carry) and eight touchdowns. In the recent loss to Memphis, he completed 26 of 43 passes for 269 yards and one touchdown, alongside rushing for 121 yards and two touchdowns on 21 carries. The model anticipates a significant performance from Brown, projecting over 325 yards of total offense.

A notable contributor to the passing game is freshman wide receiver Jeremiah Koger, who has already amassed 17 receptions for 337 yards and five touchdowns in just four games. During the loss to Memphis, he caught five passes for 78 yards and a score, while previously securing four passes for 94 yards and two touchdowns against North Texas on October 10.

Why UTSA Can Cover

Junior quarterback Owen McCown pilots the Roadrunners, coming off his best season performance against Tulane, where he scored 370 yards and four touchdown passes on 31 completions from 33 attempts (93.9%). In a prior game against Rice, he completed 15 of 21 passes for 236 yards and three touchdowns. Throughout the season, McCown has maintained a 67.5% completion rate, with 1,680 yards and 17 touchdowns compared to four interceptions.

Supporting him in the ground game is senior running back Robert Henry Jr., who has carried the ball 120 times for 955 yards (8.0 average) and nine touchdowns across eight games. In a recent loss against North Texas, he rushed for 138 yards on 12 attempts (11.5 average) and scored once. In another game against Colorado State, he gained 144 yards on 21 carries, along with two receptions totaling 76 yards and a touchdown.

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How to Make UTSA vs. South Florida Picks

The SportsLine model predicts a total score under, estimating 65 points combined. It also highlights one side of the spread achieving successful outcomes in over 60% of the simulations. For precise picks, refer to SportsLine’s insights.