Navy vs. Memphis: Predicting the Thanksgiving Clash in College Football 2025
College Football/Sports

Navy vs. Memphis: Predicting the Thanksgiving Clash in College Football 2025

A detailed look at the highly anticipated Thanksgiving match between Navy Midshipmen and Memphis Tigers, including predictions and odds.

The Navy Midshipmen aim to keep their AAC title aspirations alive as they face off against the Memphis Tigers on Thanksgiving Day, featuring the only FBS game on the college football schedule.

Navy recently celebrated a 41-38 victory over South Florida in Week 13, while Memphis saw a 31-27 loss to East Carolina. As it stands, the Midshipmen (8-2, 6-1 AAC) lead their league and hold a 2-2 record on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Tigers (8-3, 4-3 AAC) are tied for sixth in the conference, recording a formidable 4-1 at home.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, where the Tigers historically lead the series against Navy 6-4. Currently, Memphis is favored by 4.5 points, with a total score over/under set at 57.5. Prior to making any predictions regarding the Navy vs. Memphis game, check out insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.

How to make Navy vs. Memphis picks

The model anticipates the total score to exceed 57.5 points. Navy has seen the total surpass expectations in eight of their last ten games. Similarly, the Tigers have gone beyond this total in each of their last four games, as well as six of their previous ten encounters. These teams have previously combined to breach the total in their two latest matchups.

According to the model, Navy quarterback Blake Horvath is expected to throw two touchdown passes and rush for another, while Memphis quarterback Brandon Lewis aims for over 240 yards and two touchdowns. The total points are projected at 61, successfully covering the Over in over half of the simulations.

Furthermore, the model indicates one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. You can get that prediction exclusively.

Conclusion

So, who takes the win in the Navy vs. Memphis clash, and which side of the spread is likely to hit nearly 60%? Find out at SportsLine, powered by a model that has earned over $2,000 on its FBS college football predictions since launch.

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