Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks: Model Reveals 11-1 Parlay Insights for 2025

The NFL Thanksgiving Day games are among the most anticipated of the year, pairing delicious food with thrilling matchups. The 2025 lineup features an exciting schedule, starting with the Lions vs. Packers (+2.5) at 1 p.m. ET, followed by Cowboys vs. Chiefs (-3) at 4:30 p.m. ET, and concluding with the Ravens vs. Bengals (+7) at 8:20 p.m. ET. Notably, Joe Burrow is expected to make his return for Cincinnati.

Considering the available spreads, you may create a parlay involving these games or explore other betting options, including total points and prop bets. With the Ravens riding a five-game winning streak and having previously bested the Bengals in four consecutive encounters, they present a solid choice for your Thanksgiving parlay.

Featured Players for Prop Bets

Several standout athletes are set to capture attention this Thanksgiving. Notable mentions include Burrow, Jahmyr Gibbs, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Dak Prescott, and a rested Ja’Marr Chase. Prescott has secured multiple touchdown passes in his last five Thanksgiving games, though the Chiefs have only allowed 11 passing touchdowns throughout the entire season.

Best Bets from the Model

According to the model, which has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times, the Ravens are favored (-7, 51.5) to triumph against the Bengals. Baltimore has recently outperformed Cincinnati, showcasing both a strong defense and a recent winning streak.

For those looking to maximize returns, now is an ideal time to lock in Thanksgiving bets, with a potential payout exceeding 11-1 for those who follow the model’s recommendations and insights.

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For more in-depth predictions and betting tips for this Thanksgiving, don’t miss checking out additional insights from SportsLine’s proven system.