The 2025 SEC Championship Game features the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs against the No. 10 Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday. This game marks the fifth meeting in the SEC Championship, where Alabama has previously claimed victory in all four encounters. Currently, Georgia (11-1, 7-1 SEC) is fresh off a 16-9 win against Georgia Tech, while Alabama (10-2, 7-1 SEC) defeated Auburn 27-20 last Saturday.
Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Alabama has triumphed in their last three encounters against Georgia, including a narrow 24-21 victory on September 27. The latest odds favor Georgia by 2.5 points, with a total points set at 48.5. Prior to making any decisions on Alabama vs. Georgia, consult the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
Why Georgia Can Cover
Georgia has succeeded in covering the spread in five of its last six games against SEC rivals. Moreover, Kirby Smart’s squad is currently enjoying an eight-game winning streak. Their prior match against Alabama yielded 227 rushing yards, the highest allowed by Alabama to any SEC team this season. Additionally, Georgia boasts Nate Frazier, who is notable for averaging 5.6 yards per carry, along with Zachariah Branch, leading the SEC with 68 receptions. Having last played on Friday while Alabama played on Saturday, history suggests Alabama typically struggles when at a rest disadvantage, having covered only once in their last six games under similar conditions.
Why Alabama Can Cover
Alabama holds two advantages over Georgia: a perfect 4-0 all-time record in SEC Title Games against the Bulldogs and a current three-game winning streak against them. Additionally, Alabama has met the spread successfully 8 out of 12 times this season, while Georgia stands at 5-7 against the spread, failing to cover the line in their last two outings. Quarterback Ty Simpson boasts an impressive 25:4 TD-to-INT ratio, aided by a formidable defense that has not permitted more than two touchdowns in their last five competitions.
Making Picks for Alabama vs. Georgia
The SportsLine model has executed 10,000 simulations of the Georgia vs. Alabama game, predicting a total score exceeding the set total, approximating 53 points combined. The model also indicates that one side of the spread covers more than 50% of the time. To discover which side to bet on, visit SportsLine now.
