AFC playoff contenders are vying for a crucial win in ‘Sunday Night Football’ as the Houston Texans take on the Kansas City Chiefs. As of NFL Week 14, Kansas City (6-6) sits at the 10th seed after a rocky stretch, while Houston (7-5) holds the 8th seed and rides a four-game winning streak, including a close win over Indianapolis.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium, where the Chiefs have historically dominated this matchup, recently scoring five consecutive wins over the Texans. Currently, Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points with a projected over/under of 41.5 points.

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The model behind these projections runs simulations for every NFL game, and it notably favors one side of the spread hitting over 50% of the time. This week, the model anticipates a total scoring below the set line, projecting just 41 points to be scored in the matchup.

If you’re considering placing bets for this game, be sure to check what the SportsLine model predicts to maximize your chances.