Bowl season rolls on Thursday with an intriguing college football clash pitting the Arkansas State Red Wolves against the Missouri State Bears at the 2025 Xbox Bowl. This bowl is making its debut, taking over the spot previously held by the Bahamas Bowl in the postseason calendar. Arkansas State clinched their sixth victory thanks to a surprise win over Appalachian State in their season finale. Meanwhile, Missouri State capped off a successful regular season with a 7-5 record, aided by a five-game winning run in the middle of the season.

Kickoff is scheduled from Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas at 9 p.m. ET. The Red Wolves enter as 1.5-point favorites according to the latest Arkansas State vs. Missouri State odds, with an over/under set at 54.5. The money line for Arkansas State stands at -118, while Missouri State is at -101.

Before finalizing any picks for the game, check out SportsLine’s betting predictions, where the simulation model offers insights and analyses for bettors. New users can also make use of special promo codes for bonus bets through DraftKings and FanDuel.

Betting Insights

The model forecasts that the matchup will surpass the total points line of 54.5, which has seen a five-point drop from its initial figure—indicating potential value in betting on the Over. Historically, the last three games involving Missouri State have exceeded this total, and the last two for Arkansas State have followed suit. Both teams seem set for key players to be available, which should enhance the offensive game.

As for predictions, the SportsLine model highlights advantageous insights for one side of the betting spread. For further details and to view the model’s picks, visit SportsLine.