The Denver Broncos will strive for the AFC’s top seed as they host the Los Angeles Chargers during Week 18 of the 2025 NFL season. The Chargers, with little to lose besides playoff seeding, are expected to rest Justin Herbert and several key players. If the Broncos prevail, they will claim the top seed and a first-round playoff bye.
Kickoff Details:
- Location: Empower Stadium at Mile High
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Broadcast: CBS and Paramount+
The Broncos enter this matchup as 14-point favorites, according to the latest betting lines from DraftKings, with a total points over/under set at 37.5. Denver’s total points is projected at 26.5, while Los Angeles is at 10.5. For further betting insights, check out NFL picks from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times.
Where to Watch
- When: Sunday, Jan. 4
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Stream: Paramount+
- Follow along: CBS Sports App
Betting Preview
- Odds: Broncos -14, over/under 37.5
Despite their impressive record, Denver has only covered the spread 6-9-1 times, while Los Angeles stands at 8-7-1 against the spread, having previously covered four consecutive times before a loss to the Texans. The Chargers are 6-9-1 to the Over, whereas the Broncos are 7-9.
Same Game Parlay (SGP):
- Chargers +14
- Over 37.5
- RJ Harvey anytime touchdown scorer
Model Predictions
The model indicates the Chargers cover the spread in 58% of scenarios and win just 27% of the time, marking them as valuable +575 underdogs. The Over is expected to hit in 51% of simulations.
Score Prediction: Broncos 25, Chargers 15
You’ve reviewed the model’s insights for the Chargers vs. Broncos matchup. For more against-the-spread, total, and money-line picks for all Week 18 NFL games, visit here.
