
Oregon vs. Indiana: 2026 Peach Bowl Picks and Predictions from the Model
The 2026 Peach Bowl features a showdown between the Indiana Hoosiers and Oregon Ducks. Get insights and predictions ahead of this College Football Playoff semifinal.
The 2026 Peach Bowl will pair the Indiana Hoosiers and Oregon Ducks on Friday, with Indiana holding a victory from a prior match this season, where they won 30-20. The Ducks, boasting a record of 13-1, recently achieved a significant win against Texas Tech with a score of 23-0. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers, undefeated at 14-0, are determined to make history by being the first team to finish a season 16-0.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The latest odds suggest Indiana is favored by 3.5 points according to the SportsLine consensus, with an over/under of 48.5 points—a number that has risen since the initial estimate of 46.5. Both teams have a 9-5 record against the spread for the season.
Before placing any bets, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
Why Oregon can cover
Although Indiana secured a victory in the previous regular season match, historically, the team that lost an initial game has a 4-1 record against the spread in rematches. The Ducks have an impressive 75% success rate covering as underdogs since 2023. Oregon’s offense excels through both running and passing, outpacing Indiana’s statistics. Oregon’s defense also showed strength with four takeaways against Texas Tech.
Why Indiana can cover
Indiana leads college football with the No. 2 scoring defense and the No. 3 scoring offense, making them a formidable opponent. Their last four games saw them concede only two touchdowns, and they limit turnovers better than most teams. Fernando Mendoza leads nationally in passing touchdowns and is noted for his exceptional passer rating of 184.7.
Predictions
The SportsLine model forecasts a total of 46 points for Oregon vs. Indiana and suggests one side of the spread will prevail in over 50% of simulations. Find additional insights and follow the model’s recommendations through SportsLine.


