Two teams trying to maintain their playoff positions in the Eastern Conference are set to face off on Thursday as the Milwaukee Bucks go up against the Washington Wizards. The Bucks, currently at 18-27, find themselves on a three-game losing streak and will be missing their star player Giannis Antetokounmpo due to a calf injury. Meanwhile, the Wizards, holding an 11-34 record, are coming off a win that broke their nine-game losing streak. Alex Sarr is listed as questionable for the game due to illness, while Kevin Porter Jr. is confirmed out for the Bucks with an oblique injury.

The game will tip off at 7 p.m. ET from the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Throughout their encounters this season, the Wizards have claimed victory in two of three matchups against the Bucks. Current odds list the Bucks as 2.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 222.5 points. The Bucks’ money line is at -135, while the Wizards are priced at +114.

Before finalizing your betting decisions on the Bucks vs. Wizards, make sure to check insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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Model Insights

The SportsLine Projection Model has been highly successful, simulating each NBA game 10,000 times, returning over $10,000 in betting profits for players over the past eight seasons. The model has been particularly effective with a 37-16 record on its top-rated spread picks from last season.

In predicting the outcome of the Bucks vs. Wizards game, the model suggests that the total will likely fall below 222.5. The Bucks have a tendency to hit the Under, especially with two of their leading scorers sidelined. The under has succeeded in 67% of the Bucks’ road games this season. Given the current form and the absence of key players, the model strongly leans towards the Under for this matchup.