The Milwaukee Bucks will host the Miami Heat on Sunday for an Eastern Conference matchup. Milwaukee is currently fifth in the East with a 31-24 record and is 4.5 games clear of dropping into the NBA play-in tournament. Meanwhile, Miami is eighth with a 26-28 mark on the season and is pretty comfortably in line to make the play-in.

These two franchises have split their last 10 meetings both straight up and against the spread, but the Bucks have had the recent advantage with four wins in their last five matchups with the Heat.

Tip-off: 6 p.m. ET.

Odds and Predictions

• Spread: Bucks -5.5
• Over/Under: 221.5 points
• Money Line: Milwaukee -215, Miami +178

Why the Bucks Can Cover

Milwaukee enters Sunday’s matchup on a three-game winning streak after capturing a 104-101 win over the Washington Wizards. Kyle Kuzma led the team with 19 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo also contributed significantly in the previous games.

Why the Heat Can Cover

Tyler Herro led the Heat with 28 points in a recent victory against the Toronto Raptors, showing great performance as they aim for consistent play from their roster, including new acquisition Andrew Wiggins.

Model Predictions

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. Milwaukee and just locked in its picks.