The 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational is just around the corner, set to begin on March 6, 2025, at Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge. Rory McIlroy, a leading contender, is priced at +750, trailing Scottie Scheffler, who leads with odds of +320. The field also features notable names such as Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, and Jason Day, the latter being a longshot at 80-1.

As the tournament approaches, predictions are in from SportsLine’s model, which has shown consistent success by simulating the event 10,000 times. One unexpected forecast involves McIlroy who, despite being a top favorite, might not place in the top five. His recent performances have seen him struggle with accuracy, ranking 125th in driving accuracy and showing inconsistent birdie averages.

However, there’s promise in longshot Patrick Cantlay, who is making a strong run with better chances than suggested by his 30-1 odds. His effective greens-in-regulation percentage and impressive putting averages make him a potential victor.

In addition to predicting outcomes, enthusiasts can check the full list of odds and see which golfers to support or avoid in the upcoming Arnold Palmer Invitational. For insights and model predictions, check out SportsLine’s latest updates.