Expert Predictions for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Backing Patrick Cantlay
Golf/Sports

Expert Predictions for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Backing Patrick Cantlay

A breakdown of essential insights and odds for the upcoming Arnold Palmer Invitational, highlighting key players and predictions.

The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing this week with the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, which begins on Thursday. It is another Signature Event, meaning some of the top golfers in the world are competing in the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational field. Kevin Chappell is the only golfer in the last seven years to register four rounds in the 60s in the same tournament at this course, and challenging conditions are expected again this year.

Defending champion Scottie Scheffler is the +320 favorite (risk $100 to win $320) in the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, while past champion Rory McIlroy is +750 on the PGA odds board. McIlroy has racked up six career top-10 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the most of any player since 2015.

Jason Day is the only other past champion in the field, but he is an 80-1 longshot.

Top 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks

McDonald loves the value of Patrick Cantlay at +3000 (risk $100 to win $3,000) this week. Bay Hill is one of the most challenging tests on the PGA Tour, creating serious problems for missed fairways and playing from the rough. Cantlay is one of the top golfers in the field in terms of ball striking on similar courses, using precision to his advantage in these conditions.

He is also one of nine players in the field who rank inside the top 40 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green, scrambling and bogey avoidance. Cantlay has made the cut in all four of his tournaments this season, carding top-five finishes in the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. He finished T4 in the Arnold Palmer Invitational two years ago, and McDonald expects him to be in contention on Sunday again this weekend.

“The putter has turned around drastically from the downturn in 2024 and the iron play has followed suit as well. He’s doing everything well at the moment which should translate to success at a difficult test like Bay Hill,” McDonald told SportsLine.

How to make 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational golf picks

McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has also selected an epic longshot who’s priced over 160-1. This golfer has the “ability to navigate rounds in this type of scoring environment.”

So which players should you target for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational, and which golfer could bring a huge payday of more than 160-1? Check out the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald’s top picks for the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert who gave out Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot at the 2025 American Express.

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds:

  • Scottie Scheffler +320
  • Rory McIlroy +750
  • Ludvig Aberg +1600
  • Jason Day +8000

Where to bet on PGA Tour tournaments

Here are some sportsbooks to bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, alongside their current bonuses.

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