UConn vs. Oklahoma: March Madness Predictions for the 2025 NCAA Tournament
College Basketball/Sports

UConn vs. Oklahoma: March Madness Predictions for the 2025 NCAA Tournament

The UConn Huskies face the Oklahoma Sooners in the opening round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament, seeking their third consecutive championship.

The defending champion UConn Huskies will begin their quest for a three-peat with a first-round matchup in the 2025 NCAA Tournament against the Oklahoma Sooners. UConn, seeded No. 8 in the West Region with a record of 23-10, has fallen out of the AP Poll despite earlier being ranked as high as No. 2. Oklahoma, the No. 9 seed, has struggled, ending the regular season with a 20-13 record, including a disappointing 4-8 in their last 12 games. Notably, the Sooners have the edge in historical matchups, having won three out of four games against Connecticut from 2002 to 2005.

This exciting game is scheduled to take place at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, N.C., with a tip-off at 9:25 p.m. ET. UConn enters the game as a 6.5-point favorite, with the total points over/under set at 147.5.

Key Stats:

  • UConn vs. Oklahoma spread: UConn -6.5
  • UConn vs. Oklahoma over/under: 147.5 points
  • UConn vs. Oklahoma money line: UConn -271, Oklahoma +219
  • Oklahoma has an 18-15 record against the spread.
  • UConn stands at 15-18 against the line.

Why UConn Can Cover: UConn has won two straight NCAA Tournament titles in dominant fashion, winning all their recent March Madness games by at least 13 points. Coach Dan Hurley’s strategy focuses on exploiting opponents’ weaknesses, and Oklahoma’s track record of struggling recently will pose a challenge. UConn leads the nation in blocks, utilizing their height advantage, while Oklahoma lacks the size to compete effectively inside.

Why Oklahoma Can Cover: Oklahoma excels at getting to the free-throw line, making them dangerous. Their star players, Jeremiah Fears and Jalon Moore, have excelled this season, contributing significantly to the team’s offensive roster. Oklahoma’s ability to capitalize on free throws will be crucial for staying competitive against UConn’s powerful defense.

How to Make UConn vs. Oklahoma Picks: The SportsLine model has run computations on this matchup 10,000 times and is leaning toward the over on total points scored, projecting a total of 153 points. The model also provides additional insights to ensure bets align with statistical trends.

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