The No. 11 Purdue Boilermakers (15-5) will attempt to recover from a 73-70 defeat to Ohio State as they face the No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (14-4) this Friday evening. Purdue had its seven-game winning streak come to an end in that match, where they were upset as a 10.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, Michigan has secured victories in six of their last seven games and edged out Northwestern in an overtime contest last Sunday.

Originally winning both encounters against Michigan in the previous season, including a decisive 99-67 home win. The game is set for a tip-off at 8 p.m. ET on Friday at Mackey Arena. In the latest betting odds, Purdue stands as a 3.5-point favorite, with an over/under set at 151 points according to the SportsLine consensus. The Boilermakers currently hold a money line of -172 (bet $172 to win $100), while the Wolverines are at +143 (bet $100 to win $143).

Before placing any bets on the Michigan vs. Purdue game, check the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

Why Purdue can cover

Purdue comes off a difficult loss to Ohio State but previously won its prior seven matches, including an upset victory over Oregon, ranked No. 13, last Saturday, as they were 2.5-point underdogs. Trey Kaufman-Renn delivered an impressive performance with 23 points and 11 rebounds in that game, making all his nine free throw attempts.

Braden Smith contributed 15 points, seven assists, and four rebounds in that same match against the Ducks. Kaufman-Renn is the lead scorer for Purdue, averaging 18.3 points and 6.5 rebounds per game, whereas Smith follows closely with 15.0 points and 8.9 assists on average. The Boilermakers show a trend of success against conference teams, having won four out of their last five encounters and covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against Big Ten rivals.

Why Michigan can cover

Michigan is entering the match with momentum from a couple of recent overtime games, which included a narrow loss to Minnesota but rebounding successfully with a win against Northwestern on Sunday. The Wolverines have a powerful frontcourt led by Danny Wolf and Vladislav Goldin, the latter being a key player who averaged 16.4 points and is coming off a standout performance, scoring 31 points last game against Northwestern.

Goldin’s latest performances have made it increasingly difficult for opponents to manage defensively. Notably, Michigan has been a successful betting option in this matchup, winning and covering in 12 out of their last 14 meetings with Purdue.

How to make Purdue vs. Michigan picks

The model has conducted over 10,000 simulations of the matchup and suggests leaning toward the Over. It has yielded a point-spread pick that wins more than 50% of the time, thus you can find detailed predictions by visiting SportsLine.