The final Thursday of the 2025 NBA regular season features an Eastern Conference matchup as the Atlanta Hawks will visit the Brooklyn Nets. Atlanta is heading to the NBA Play-In Tournament with a 37-42 overall record, while Brooklyn is heading to the draft lottery with a 26-53 record.

The teams split their two matchups earlier this season, with the home team winning each. Brooklyn is 42-37 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024-25 NBA season, while Atlanta is 39-40 versus the line. D’Angelo Russell (ankle) and Cameron Johnson (back) are both out for Brooklyn.

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET from the Barclays Center in New York City. Atlanta is a 13.5-point favorite in the latest Hawks vs. Nets odds from SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 233.5 points, an increase from opening at 226.5.

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta is coming off a 119-112 defeat to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday, despite a standout performance from Onyeka Okongwu. He filled up the stat sheet with 30 points, 14 rebounds, four assists, and three steals. Meanwhile, Trae Young had a double-double with 28 points and 10 assists. However, Atlanta committed 18 turnovers versus Orlando’s No. 1 scoring defense, and fortunately, that shouldn’t be a concern against the Nets.

Brooklyn struggles defensively, allowing the fourth-highest FG percentage and 2P percentage. The Nets also struggle offensively, ranking second-to-last in points per game. Atlanta has the No. 5 scoring offense and has gotten a boost from trade deadline acquisitions in Caris LeVert, Georges Niang, and Terance Mann. Each of the three is averaging at least 3.3 more points with the Hawks than with their previous teams.

Why the Nets can cover

Brooklyn is coming off a victory against the New Orleans Pelicans 119-114, on Tuesday. The Nets saw seven players score in double digits, including all five reserves who played in the game. Trendon Watford led the way with 22 points on 7 of 8 shooting, while former Gonzaga star Drew Timme contributed 16 points and nine rebounds.

The Nets are now 10-6 ATS over their last 16 games and have covered in both meetings this season with Atlanta. Additionally, the Hawks are 4-6 ATS as a road favorite. The Nets can exploit the Hawks’ deficiencies, particularly defensively.

How to make Nets vs. Hawks picks

The model has simulated Hawks vs. Nets 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, predicting 224 points, and it also identifies a spread that hits well over 50% of the time.

So who wins Nets vs. Hawks, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Hawks vs. Nets spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 155-115 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season.