The Philadelphia Phillies (8-3) are looking to secure a series win against the struggling Atlanta Braves (2-9) in their matchup today. After a dramatic 4-3 win on Wednesday, which featured a tie-breaking home run by shortstop Trea Turner, the team aims to continue their momentum.

First pitch is set for 7:15 p.m. ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, with the Braves positioned as -125 favorites (risk $125 to win $100). The total runs scored is set at 7.5.

SportsLine’s model, which simulates games 10,000 times, is currently on a 34-19 run for top-rated MLB picks on the run line since 2023. Here are the recommended bets for today:

Phillies +1.5 runs (-184)

Philadelphia’s offense has maintained a strong performance with players like Kyle Schwarber, Nick Castellanos, and Bryce Harper batting .275 or better. The model indicates they have a high probability of covering this spread.

Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 strikeouts (-154)

The pitcher has shown remarkable form, and the model predicts at least 6.5 strikeouts in this matchup.

Over 7.5 runs (+100)

Previous games indicate a high likelihood of exceeding this run total, with Philadelphia averaging nearly five runs per game this season.

For full MLB projections and more betting strategies, visit SportsLine.