When the Mets signed Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765 million contract this offseason, expectations were high for him to deliver powerful batting performance and maintain a consistent on-base percentage. However, early in the season, Soto has hit only one home run in the first 14 games, showing potential for a stronger performance as weather conditions improve.

Soto has odds of +350 to hit a home run during the Mets’ match against the Athletics in Sacramento this Sunday.

There are numerous matchups this Sunday which create a vast array of betting options for MLB home run props. Utilizing SportsLine’s advanced computer model, consider the following valuable picks:

Pete Alonso HR (+340)

Alonso has consistently hit over 34 home runs in his previous five MLB seasons, starting 2025 on a strong note with four home runs. He will face Luis Severino from the Yankees, who has allowed four homers in just three starts this year.

Marcell Ozuna HR (+360)

Ozuna has performed well in hitter-friendly settings and has recorded three homers against right-handers this season. He plays in a favorable environment due to wind conditions and warm temperatures as well.

Nick Castellanos HR (+450)

With his excellent track record against left-handed pitchers, Castellanos is set for a big game in St. Louis with wind conditions favoring home runs. Expect a good payout with his favorable matchups!

Explore today’s best MLB picks, including SportsLine’s top-rated bets from the model!