If recent championship runs in sports feel predictable, it’s not just your imagination. Bettors, especially those favoring underdogs, may have found this period less than fruitful.

Recent Trends

Looking back over the past ten months, the favorites such as Georgia and Ohio State were frontrunners in the college football season. Chris Andrews from South Point even offered a prop bet on these favorites versus the field.

Despite some uncertainty, Ohio State secured the CFP title—a favorable outcome for the sportsbooks as the majority of bets were placed against them.

Andrews remarked, “You navigated well to have that prop bet available. It was a touch-and-go moment, but we pulled through.”

Favorite’s Dominance

Incredibly, in the CFP, ten favorites won eleven games (9-2 against the spread), with Notre Dame overcoming Penn State as the sole underdog victor. This led to a plethora of bets on the moneyline for the favorites.

Andrews lamented, “The first round was harsh with those moneyline bets. Only the Notre Dame game held up against the spread.”

What Lies Ahead?

Even the NFL mirrored this trend with favorites winning at a staggering 72.1% throughout the season—the highest rate since 2005. However, bettors should proceed with caution as historical patterns suggest a potential regression.

As Andrews noted, “This could reflect a correction soon, like in 2006 when favorites plummeted to only 59.8% wins.”

Can underdog bettors expect a comeback? Stay tuned as the seasons progress—sports always have the capacity for surprises.