The Dallas Mavericks will aim to recover from a challenging season as they prepare to face the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament on Friday night. The Mavericks finished the regular season with a record of 39-43 but secured a significant road victory against the Kings, winning 120-106, bringing them one win away from securing a playoff spot. On the other hand, the Grizzlies had a solid regular season at 48-34, although they encountered a narrow defeat to the Warriors in their last outing, losing 121-116.

Dallas initially defeated Memphis in their first matchup but subsequently lost the next three encounters, including a blowout 132-97 defeat in the regular season finale.

Game Details

• Date/Time: Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the FedExForum in Memphis, TN.
• Home Record: Memphis: 26-15; Dallas: 17-25 on the road.

The Grizzlies are currently favored by 6 points, with the over/under set at 220.5 points. Memphis shows odds of -258 on the money line (betting $258 to win $100), while the Mavericks are at +209 (betting $100 to win $209).

Before making any choices for the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks game in the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament, make sure to check NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

Statistical Insights

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times. It has proven profitable over the last six-plus seasons, generating a profit of over $10,000 for $100 betters on its top-rated NBA picks. Currently, the model is riding a 156-115 streak on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season and has yielded nearly $4,000 in returns.

The model is also focused on the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies match. It projects 228 points, leaning towards the over.

Line Insights:

• Grizzlies vs. Mavericks spread: Grizzlies -6
• Over/Under: 220.5 points
• Money Line: Grizzlies -258, Mavericks +209

Why Mavericks Might Succeed

Provided that he is at full strength, forward Anthony Davis (probable) has demonstrated why he ranks among the leading players in his position. Against Sacramento, Davis delivered a strong performance, scoring 27 points and securing nine rebounds. He has become an essential part of the controversial trade that brought Luka Doncic to Dallas, consistently scoring 23 or more points in four of his last five games.

Another standout is Klay Thompson, who also impressed against Sacramento, contributing with 23 points and hitting five out of seven three-pointers. Meanwhile, reserve guard Brandon Williams unexpectedly added 17 points in 18 minutes, showing potential for a larger role.

Why Grizzlies Have a Chance

Though he is currently questionable due to an ankle injury, Ja Morant has been a critical player, scoring 22 points against the Warriors. Morant has shown dominance against the Mavericks this season, averaging 31 points alongside six assists in their two previous games. Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. must also elevate their performances to secure Memphis’ home advantage.

Conclusion

As the game approaches, excitement builds over how these two teams will fare against each other and the stakes involved. To uncover the best betting strategies, fans can turn to SportsLine for comprehensive insights and predictions.