The 2025 Road to the Kentucky Derby has been extensive, culminating at Churchill Downs after the final race this past weekend. The 151st Kentucky Derby is set for Saturday, May 3. Bob Baffert, with a record six wins, has the opportunity to aim for a seventh after the disqualification of his previous winner, Medina Spirit.

Top contenders include: Rodriguez (10-1), Citizen Bull (20-1), and Madaket Road (54-1).

Notable favorites: Journalism is favored at 3-1. SportsLine writer Gene Menez, who correctly predicted last year’s winner, shares insights and bets based on various horse statistics.

Among Menez’s predictions, he advises caution regarding Sandman, who, despite winning the Arkansas Derby, may face challenges in the Derby due to his running style. Menez emphasizes the importance of strategic positioning among a large field and questions Sandman’s 8-1 odds given his record.

How to position bets: Menez’s top pick is highlighted as a horse expected to thrive over longer distances, alongside a promising longshot known for impressive pacing. For more detailed analyses, visit SportsLine to explore further insights and specific picks.