Bob Baffert is aiming for history as he returns to Churchill Downs for the 2025 Kentucky Derby on May 3. With seven Kentucky Derby wins, Baffert will make his first appearance at the Run for the Roses since 2021, following a three-year ban due to a failed drug test for Medina Spirit, the 2021 Derby winner. He is expected to bring three horses this year: Citizen Bull, Madaket Road, and Rodriguez.

Journalism is currently the 3-1 favorite among the latest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds. Arkansas Derby champion Sandman shares odds of 8-1 with Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Sovereignty. Before placing your bets, check out the insights from expert Gene Menez who has successfully predicted many outcomes in the past, including last year’s live longshot, 18-1 Mystik Dan.

Top Predictions for the 2025 Kentucky Derby

Menez is notably hesitant about betting on Sandman despite its prominent status as a favorite. He believes that while Sandman’s victory in the Arkansas Derby was impressive, repeating the success may be difficult without another fortunate pace breakdown. As further explained, Menez questions whether he can maintain his ground against Sovereignty, which previously outran Sandman in the Street Sense Stakes.

Making Your 2025 Derby Bets

Menez’s top pick for the race is a horse that he believes will thrive over longer distances. He also highlights a double-digit longshot known for its remarkable speed. To see more insights, visit SportsLine for Menez’s complete analysis and recommendations for the Derby.