The Philadelphia Phillies are set to clash with the Chicago Cubs in the concluding game of their three-game series this upcoming Sunday Night Baseball. The Cubs took the first match with a score of 4-0, but the Phillies bounced back with a dominant 10-4 victory on Saturday. Currently, the Phillies hold a record of 14-13, having recently halted a five-game losing streak. They are currently 5-9 when playing away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Cubs, with a 17-11 record, have achieved three wins in their last four games, reflecting a 9-6 performance on their home turf.
The match is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field, with the Phillies being slight favorites at -115 on the money line. The over-under totals eight runs, according to the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Ahead of placing any bets this Sunday, it’s crucial to reference the forecasts established by SportsLine’s reputable model, which has run 10,000 simulations for this matchup.
Phillies to win (-115)
Historically, Philadelphia has excelled against the Cubs, securing victories in 10 of the last 13 matchups. Their recent records show a 5-3 performance at Wrigley Field, outscoring the Cubs 39-28 across those games. A key contributor to the Phillies’ offense is right fielder Nick Castellanos, who has maintained a .283 batting average with three homers this season. In the last game against the Cubs, he recorded a two-hit performance.
Expecting high returns at -115, Caesars and DraftKings offer competitive prices on the Phillies win.
Over 8 total runs (-105)
The teams have frequently surpassed eight runs collectively in seven of their previous eight encounters. The Cubs currently lead the MLB in team batting averages at .267, with 171 runs scored so far this season. Center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong is expected to play a crucial role, batting .284 with five homers and 18 RBIs this season. Notably, statistically, five Phillies batters have above a 40% chance of earning RBIs, putting key players like Bryce Harper and Trea Turner in the spotlight. Furthermore, the model predicts a total of 9.2 runs will be scored, consequently favoring the over option in over 53% of the simulations.
For detailed MLB picks, check out advice from SportsLine’s premier expert, Matt Severance, who has shown a strong performance this season.
