The 2-seed Houston Rockets and the 7-seed Golden State Warriors are set to battle in Game 4 of their first-round series in the 2025 NBA playoffs on Monday. After splitting the series 1-1 in Houston, the Warriors defended their home court. In Game 3, the Warriors defeated the Rockets 104-93 with a strong performance from their bench, which outscored Houston’s 42-28.

Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Golden State is currently favored by 4.5 points according to the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the game’s total points over/under sits at 203.

Why the Warriors Can Cover

Guard Stephen Curry leads the Warriors with outstanding shooting skills, averaging 29 points and 7 assists per game in the playoffs. Meanwhile, Brandin Podziemski brings additional scoring support with performances exceeding 10 points in consecutive games.

Why the Rockets Can Cover

For the Rockets, center Alperen Sengun leads in both points and rebounds this playoff season, showcasing his double-double capabilities. Also, guard Dillon Brooks plays a vital role on defense and proves effective on the perimeter.

How to Make Rockets vs. Warriors Picks

According to the SportsLine projection model, which has simulated this matchup 10,000 times, the projected total combined points are over 207. Analysis suggests that one side of the spread hits in over 50% of the simulations.

For further predictions and insights, you can visit the SportsLine model.