Based on recent records, Sovereignty appears to be a top contender for the 2025 Kentucky Derby, currently priced at 5-1. Having trained under Bill Mott, the horse is coming off a strong performance despite a recent second-place finish in the Florida Derby. Notably, the last four Kentucky Derby winners had also faced setbacks before their victories. The race is set for 6:57 p.m. ET at Churchill Downs. The frontrunner is Journalism, listed as a 3-1 favorite, alongside Sovereignty and Sandman at 6-1.

Before finalizing your picks for the race, check out what Tim Doyle suggests; he has previously achieved notable success with his insights, including calling Mage as a 15-1 longshot winner last year.

Key Picks from Tim Doyle

• Tim suggests caution with Journalism, despite its impressive win streak under inexperienced connections. He prefers a double-digit longshot with a strong closing kick. For insights into his full analysis and selections, visit SportsLine.

2025 Kentucky Derby Odds

Post	Horse	Odds	Projection
1	Citizen Bull	20-1	SEE PICKS
8	Journalism	3-1	SEE PICKS
17	Sandman	6-1	SEE PICKS
18	Sovereignty	5-1	SEE PICKS