2025 Miami Grand Prix Betting Predictions and Insights
Formula 1/Motorsports

2025 Miami Grand Prix Betting Predictions and Insights

An analysis of the favorites and underdogs for the Miami Grand Prix, including key predictions and betting odds based on advanced modeling.

Following a brief break, Formula 1 returns with the 2025 Miami Grand Prix held on Sunday. The Miami International Autodrome, which surrounds Hard Rock Stadium, was introduced to the F1 calendar in 2022. Max Verstappen from Red Bull Racing triumphed in both 2022 and 2023, while McLaren’s Lando Norris took home the victory in 2024. This season, Oscar Piastri leads with three wins and is currently listed at +270 odds, with Norris closely behind at +145, according to the latest provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Verstappen, who secured the pole position during qualifying, is now the second favorite at +175. Unfortunately, there are weather predictions of significant rainfall for the F1 Miami event after extreme weather forced the cancellation of the Academy’s support race.

The race is set to begin at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday. Numerous Formula 1 prop bets are available, such as podium finishes, top-six finishes, and betting on which team will achieve a double podium.

Piastri and Norris are co-favorites at +130 to register the fastest lap, while Verstappen, the holder of the fastest lap record set at 1 minute 29.708 seconds, is listed at +850. Norris holds +370 odds to win the race and set the fastest lap.

Before exploring the starting grid for the 2025 Miami Grand Prix and making any Formula 1 selections, be sure to check the sports model’s latest predictions and betting advice.

Mike McClure, a data engineer and professional daily Fantasy sports player, developed the sophisticated Formula 1 prediction model utilized in the analysis. It simulates each race 10,000 times, accounting for elements such as previous track performance and recent results. It has shown a remarkable track record in motorsports betting, correctly forecasting 20 NASCAR winners since the start of the 2021 season while its projected leaderboards have accurately predicted the winners across various racing formats.

Particularly effective regarding Formula 1 races, the model has been spot on in its predictions since 2021, accurately selecting winners ten times throughout the 2021 and 2022 seasons. It was particularly successful in forecasting Verstappen’s rise to stardom, successfully predicting all 19 of his victories during the 2023 season in addition to the first seven wins of the 2024 season.

Moving forward, the model anticipates a points finish (top 10) for Racing Bulls’ Isack Hadjar, returning +200 at BetMGM, having previously projected Carlos Sainz of Williams achieving a top 10 (+150) last race in Saudi Arabia. Hadjar, a 20-year-old French talent, finished second in Formula 2 last season and secured a seat with Racing Bulls after Yuki Tsunoda was promoted to team up with Verstappen this offseason.

So, who will claim victory at the Miami Grand Prix 2025, and which longshot contender might surge toward the front? Look through the latest 2025 F1 odds provided below, and check out SportsLine for the complete projected 2025 Miami Grand Prix leaderboard, based on the model that has successfully chosen 32 of 49 winners in Formula 1 since 2023.

2025 Miami Grand Prix Odds

  • Lando Norris +145
  • Max Verstappen +175
  • Oscar Piastri +270
  • Kimi Antonelli +1200
  • George Russell +2800
  • Charles Leclerc +7000
  • Carlos Sainz +11000
  • Lewis Hamilton +11000
  • Alex Albon +11000
  • Yuki Tsunoda +42000
  • Esteban Ocon +42000
  • Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
  • Pierre Gasly +50000
  • Liam Lawson +50000
  • Oliver Bearman +50000
  • Lance Stroll +50000
  • Jack Doohan +50000
  • Nico Hulkenberg +50000
  • Isack Hadjar +50000
  • Fernando Alonso +50000

Please note that all odds are subject to change and should be verified with the sportsbook before placing bets.

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