The Los Angeles Dodgers aim for a series sweep against the Atlanta Braves during Sunday Night Baseball. Following a 2-1 victory on Friday, the Dodgers triumphed again with a score of 10-3 on Saturday, confirming their lead in the National League West standings at 23-10, extending their winning streak to seven games. In contrast, the Braves, ranked third in the NL East, are seeking to recover from three consecutive losses.
First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. According to the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, Los Angeles is favored with a money line at -135, while the total runs expected for the game (over-under) stands at 9.5.
Before making selections regarding the Dodgers vs. Braves, it is critical to review the predictions generated by SportsLine’s validated model, which has simulated this matchup 10,000 times. Currently, the model enters Week 6 of the 2025 MLB season, having generated a record of 17 wins and 11 losses on its top-rated MLB betting picks (+276). Participating with sportsbooks and utilizing betting apps should yield positive returns.
Dodgers to Win (-135)
Los Angeles has historically outperformed the Braves, winning 11 of their last 13 encounters. The team boasts an 8-4 record at Truist Park since 2022, with a 64-42 scoring advantage during this period. At the forefront of the Dodgers’ offense is Freddie Freeman, a former Brave. Freeman’s performance peaked on Saturday with a 3-for-5 record, featuring a home run and four RBIs, including a three-run homer in the eighth inning. For the season, he stands at .338 with seven doubles, six homers, and 21 RBIs from 22 games.
To further enhance your insights, Matt Severance, SportsLine’s premier MLB authority, is on a hot streak with a remarkable 58-27 history on his last 85 MLB picks (+1494).
Under 9.5 Total Runs (+105)
The modeling ensures a 47.2% probability that the teams will score fewer than nine runs. In five of the previous nine matchups, the under results have prevailed, including Friday’s game. Starting for Los Angeles will be right-hander Dustin May (1-1, 3.95 ERA), who has given up three earned runs or fewer in four of five starts this season. Atlanta counters with fellow right-handed pitcher Bryce Elder (1-1, 5.33 ERA), coming off a 6-3 win over Colorado last week.
The projections estimate May will allow 2.1 earned runs, while Los Angeles’ bullpens are anticipated to concede approximately 1.6 earned runs. Elder is expected to yield 2.7 runs, with the Braves’ relievers giving up around 1.2 earned runs. The overall predictions lean towards 9.1 combined runs.
In sum, this analysis covers two significant bets for the Dodgers vs. Braves matchup on Sunday Night Baseball, with the model maintaining its performance entering Week 6 of the 2025 MLB season.
