Top MLB Home Run Predictions and Odds for May 5: Freddie Freeman Leads Monday's Best Bets

Yankees slugger Aaron Judge has homered four times in his last seven games, moving into second place behind Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh for the season lead in homers. Judge has gone yard 11 times and plays at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium on Monday. However, Padres starting pitcher Nick Pivetta has only allowed two homers through his first six starts of the season. Judge is +190 to go yard in the Monday MLB home run odds at BetMGM, while Raleigh is +250 to homer against the Athletics.

Diamondbacks third baseman Eugenio Suarez ranks fourth in the majors with 10 homers and is +320 according to the latest MLB prop bets. With MLB props available for nearly every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help find valuable bets for your MLB home run picks.

The model simulates each game 10,000 times and is 17-11 on all top-rated MLB picks since the season began. The model has often nailed home run props and is up 28.8 units in the past 27 days.

Live MLB Home Run Picks for Today
Here are the three best home run prop bets for Monday:

Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks (+450)

Marte missed the entire month of April due to a hamstring injury, but has returned after a week. He is batting .303 over his first nine games, and hit 36 home runs last year. Marte will face Mets pitcher Griffin Canning today, who allowed 31 homers last year. In terms of odds, the model sets the line at +360 for Marte to hit one out today, indicating value at BetMGM.

Freddie Freeman, Dodgers (+525)

Freeman has homered twice in his past four games, hitting against Miami last Wednesday and Atlanta on Saturday. He has hit six homers so far this season, and is batting .333 through 23 games. The 35-year-old has a slash line of .390/.471/.797 against right-handed pitchers, with all six of his homers coming against righties. He faces struggling Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-3 with an 8.31 ERA this season.

Oneil Cruz, Pirates (+420)

Cruz has emerged as one of the leading power hitters in baseball, hitting eight home runs in 30 starts this season. He has not homered in over a week, indicating that he may be due for another. Seven of his eight homers have come against right-handed pitchers, and he’ll face Miles Mikolas today, who has yet to allow a homer this season but has a history of giving them up in previous seasons.

For more predictions and betting insights on home run props, visit SportsLine.