SEC Spring Overreactions: Tennessee Poised for CFP Even Without Nico, South Carolina's Momentum Stalls
College Football/Sports

SEC Spring Overreactions: Tennessee Poised for CFP Even Without Nico, South Carolina's Momentum Stalls

As spring shifts into summer, we evaluate the most significant overreactions surrounding SEC teams for the upcoming 2025 football season.

The offseason has arrived, and with it comes the annual SEC ritual of big dreams. Every fan base, even the most optimistic, remains hopeful. Why shouldn’t LaNorris Sellers be a Heisman candidate? Can Vanderbilt upset Texas after Diego Pavia’s triumphant upset against a No. 1? Is Bobby Petrino’s return enough for Arkansas to reach Atlanta?

Summer is a murky season for predictions. The transfer portal can alter rosters at a moment’s notice, and forecasts made pre-fall camp often feel speculative. Yet, fans will continue to churn out wild predictions.

Football reigns supreme in the South, along with an undeniable wave of offseason optimism. The takes are extravagant, confidence disproportionately high, but hope—like the SEC’s obsession with championships—is relentless.


Alabama

Playoff run or bust: Kalen DeBoer, one of the most successful coaches in college football, shouldn’t be written off after a nine-win debut at Alabama. The pressure is palpable in Year 2 post-Nick Saban, yet his roster is constructed for success. The arrival of Ryan Grubb as the new offensive coordinator shows promise for a more stable strategy, with Ty Simpson at quarterback fitting his system better than last year’s starter, Jalen Milroe.

I believe Alabama will exceed the win total set at 9.5 by FanDuel, which translates into a playoff berth for the Crimson Tide.

Arkansas

The University of Attrition: With 40 departures via the transfer portal this offseason, Arkansas leads the SEC in player movements, a pattern that continued from last season. The bright side is that quarterback Taylen Green and play-caller Bobby Petrino return, setting up an exciting offensive scheme. However, it’s uncertain how well the new players will integrate. This uncertainty adds pressure for coach Sam Pittman, who faced a rough season last year. Making it to a bowl game will prove challenging.

Auburn

Just Auburn Being Auburn: Few programs exemplify unpredictability as well as Auburn. The Tigers can oscillate from a dismal season to a national title contender in an instant—just look back at 2012-13. But currently, Auburn is experiencing its roughest stretch since the 1940s, with no winning seasons since 2020. Coach Hugh Freeze enters his third year with top-tier recruiting classes and substantial portal additions. Expectations are high for a resurgence; can Jackson Arnold elevate them back to prominence?

Florida

DJ Lagway will lead the Gators to glory: Florida’s defense isn’t particularly deep, and Billy Napier may struggle on game days, but the offensive lineup is dynamic enough to shock the college football landscape. Despite being written off last September, the Gators rallied to win eight games against a tough schedule. If Lagway remains healthy and the offensive line holds strong, why can’t Florida compete with teams like Georgia and LSU?

Georgia

Bulldogs’ receivers will be among the nation’s best: Expect a considerable reversal for Georgia’s passing attack after last season’s struggles marked by dropped passes. With the additions of Zachariah Branch and Noah Thomas, the receiver corps has substantially improved, lifting some pressures off Gunner Stockton as he steps into his first full season as starting quarterback. If Georgia could clinch the SEC Championship last year with a weakened set of receivers, think of how formidable they could become this fall.

Kentucky

Do something, anything: Kentucky has seen better days since nearly losing Mark Stoops to Texas A&M. The offense has struggled with portal quarterbacks, but there’s hope that Zach Calzada will alter this trajectory. The demanding schedule looms ominously, but achieving a bowl bid after last season’s absence would mark progress.

LSU

Brian Kelly is still elite: For Brian Kelly, winning fewer than ten games is nonsensical; most coaches would crave that record. After seven consecutive seasons with ten or more wins, Kelly’s position hangs by a thread, though the roster is loaded thanks to quarterback Garrett Nussmeier’s return and an impressive NIL-driven transfer class. The possibilities for LSU are promising this season.

Mississippi State

Explosive offense … loading: Jeff Lebby promises an entertaining offense, but last year’s performance fell short (85th in scoring). Quarterback Blake Shapen, although not heavily hyped, could elevate the Bulldogs with a new cohort of 27 transfer players. With four playoff teams from last season on the schedule, the race is grim, making a high-scoring offense imperative.

Missouri

Get ready for a slide: Missouri has thrived under Eli Drinkwitz, but the expectation is a downward spiral following a stellar record. With Brady Cook gone and three top receivers exiting, the pressure mounts. Can the new recruits gel, or will this year prove challenging?

Oklahoma

Sooners will shock the SEC: The Sooners have revamped their approach, with Brent Venables taking a direct role in defensive play-calling following a rocky first season in the SEC. A series of transfers promises to enhance their performance, making them a wildcard to watch this fall.

Ole Miss

Rebels’ first playoff team is this one: Despite painful moments last season derailing a playoff bid, new quarterback Austin Simmons leads a revamped roster with talent. If the Rebels can capitalize on last year’s portal class, they may indeed surprise the league unexpectedly.

South Carolina

More flash than sizzle: The Gamecocks possess exciting players, but lack of consistency may hinder their efforts. Quarterback LaNorris Sellers must refine his passing skills to help his favorites shine. Given their challenging schedule, a rocky start could complicate hopes for a strong finish.

Tennessee

Easy schedule will lead to playoff appearance: The focus on Nico Iamaleava’s departure for UCLA may be overstated. Josh Heupel’s system offers support for quarterbacks, making Joey Aguilar an intriguing fit. With a favorable schedule ahead, Tennessee appears set for a fruitful season with an 8.5 win total projected by FanDuel.

Texas

Arch Madness will match the hype: Avoid skepticism about yet another Manning stepping into the spotlight. Arch Manning holds the key to transforming Texas into a powerhouse with the offensive creativity they have been missing for years. Look for him to lead the Longhorns to prominent showings.

Texas A&M

Prepare for darkhorse chatter: The Aggies return potent assets with Marcel Reed as a dynamic quarterback and an experienced offensive line. The college football world will keep a keen eye on their performance, but the difficult schedule might hinder their success.

Vanderbilt

Diego Pavia can’t do it all: After stunning Alabama, Pavia faces a tougher schedule. Despite burgeoning talent on the Commodores’ roster, expecting a repeat of last year may be unrealistic.

In short, a mix of anticipation and uncertainty defines the upcoming season in SEC football.

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