The 1-seed Oklahoma City Thunder and the 4-seed Denver Nuggets are ready for a crucial Game 5 in the 2025 NBA Western Conference Semifinals. With the series tied at 2-2, this matchup is pivotal following the Thunder’s narrow 92-87 win over the Nuggets at Ball Arena.

Game Details

• Date: May 13, 2025
• Kickoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
• Odds: Thunder favored by 10.5 points, Over/Under set at 221 points, per DraftKings Sportsbook.

The Thunder boasts an impressive record of 56-31-4, while the Nuggets hold a 44-47-2 record against the spread this season.

According to the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, it has returned over $10,000 in profit for players betting $100 on its top-rated picks over the past six seasons.

Here are the top-three same-game parlay picks for the Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup:

Denver Nuggets +10.5 (-111)

Even with the Thunder at home, a 10.5-point spread might be excessive. The Nuggets have already beaten the Thunder twice in Oklahoma City this season, including a 121-119 victory as a 10.5-point underdog in Game 1.

Aaron Gordon 15+ points (-190)

This postseason, Aaron Gordon is averaging 18.3 points and has scored at least 15 points in eight of his last 11 playoff games, including 15 points in the Game 4 loss where he shot 3 of 7 from three-point range.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points (-200)

The Thunder’s star player, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, had the highest scoring average during the regular season at 32.7 points and has scored 30-plus points in four of his last six games, showcasing strong performance against Denver in previous matchups.

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