The Denver Nuggets will face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5 of their NBA Western Conference semifinal on Tuesday evening. After evening the series 2-2 with a 92-87 win on Sunday—thanks to their bench outscoring the Nuggets’ reserves 35-8—the Thunder are looking to capitalize further.

The Nuggets (50-32) finished second in the Northwest Division and have a solid road record of 26-20 this season, including playoffs. Meanwhile, the Thunder (68-14), top seeds in the West, boast a home record of 38-7 this season.

Key Details:

• Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
• Betting Odds: Thunder favored by 10 points as per DraftKings; the total points over/under is 222.5, up from an opening of 217.5.
• Money Line: Thunder at -441, Nuggets at +338.

NBA Prediction Models Before making your betting choices, consider the insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.

Notable Players:

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.6 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 6.6 assists across the playoffs, notably scoring 25 points in the last game.
• Jalen Williams contributes significantly, averaging 21 points and performing well in crucial moments, including scoring 32 points in Game 3.
• On the Nuggets’ side, Nikola Jokic has been dominant, averaging a double-double and producing an amazing 42 points in Game 1 of the series. Jamal Murray has also been a key player, scoring at least 21 points in playoff games this season.

How to Make Your Picks

The model has projected 218 combined points for this matchup, favoring one side of the spread hitting in almost 70% of simulations. Be sure to check out the model on SportsLine for further insights on betting strategies and recommendations.