The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder are poised to close out their series against the Denver Nuggets, seeded fourth, on Thursday. After securing a 112-105 victory in game five, they hold a 3-2 lead in the series. The game is set for 8:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in Denver, where the Thunder are favored by 4.5 points with an over/under set at 217.5 points according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was a standout in the last game, scoring 31 points, and is listed at +450 to score the first points of the game.
The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times, consistently generating over $10,000 in profit for $100 players with top-rated NBA picks over the last six-plus seasons. With a record of 159-117 on all top-rated NBA picks, the model has returned nearly $4,000 recently, proving highly effective against the spread.
Top Three Betting Picks for Nuggets vs. Thunder:
- Oklahoma City -4.5 (-115): The model predicts a five-point victory for the Thunder, who have shown strength with two of their three wins in this series by a margin of over seven points. They have a record of 23-16-2 against the spread as road favorites.
- Jamal Murray 20+ points (-175): Averaging 22.3 points with a shooting percentage of 44.7%, Murray has scored 20 or more points in eight of 12 playoff games this season.
- Jalen Williams 2+ 3-pointers (-160): Known for his ability as a floor spacer, Williams has made no fewer than two three-pointers in six of his last eight playoff games.
For those interested in a parlay with a potential payout of +350, you can place your bets at DraftKings.
