Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 3 Preview: Odds and Predictions
A comprehensive look at the upcoming Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Western Conference finals featuring the Thunder and Timberwolves, including odds and predictions based on simulations.
The 1-seed Oklahoma City Thunder will visit the 6-seed Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Western Conference finals on Saturday night. The Thunder have secured a 2-0 lead in the series after defeating the Timberwolves 118-103 in Game 2. Currently, OKC is 62-34 against the spread, whereas Minnesota stands at 46-47-1.
The game is set for a tip-off at 8:30 p.m. ET from Target Center in Minneapolis. Initially opened at -2.5, the Thunder are now favored by 3 points on the road, and the over/under for total points is set at 218.5. In terms of the money line, Oklahoma City is priced at -151, suggesting a risk of $151 to win $100, while Minnesota is listed at +126.
Before placing any bets on this matchup, it’s advisable to check out NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
SportsLine Simulation Insights
The SportsLine model has simulated this game 10,000 times, yielding substantial profits for bettors. With a current tally of 159-117 on all NBA picks, the model underscores its proficiency this postseason, demonstrating nearly $4,000 in returned bets.
Why can the Thunder cover? The Thunder have recorded victories in both games of the current series by a minimum margin of 15 points. Moreover, they have a commendable record of 57-32-4 against the spread as favorites, with a 25-18-2 standing when competing on the road. Key players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams have all been instrumental in the Thunder’s recent successes.
Conversely, the Timberwolves are hopeful for a comeback featuring Anthony Edwards, who leads his team with an average of 26.2 points per game and has been pivotal in Game 2 with an impressive performance. Also, Jaden McDaniels’ defensive skills will be crucial as the Timberwolves hope to leverage their home court advantage.
Final Thoughts
The model suggests betting on the Under with an expected combined score of 213 points. With a favorable side of the spread hitting over 50% of simulations, numerous insights await those looking to get serious about their betting strategies.
For more detailed insights and player performances, check the analysis from the SportsLine Model. All interested bettors should consider multiple angles before finalizing their picks.
