Overview of Baeza

Entering Kentucky Derby week, Baeza was not guaranteed a spot in the race but eventually ran third, finishing just 1 and 3/4 lengths behind the winner. Now he aims to secure a victory in the Belmont Stakes this Saturday.

Baeza’s Profile: 4-1 Odds
Trainer: John Shirreffs
Jockey: Flavien Prat
Last Race: Finished third in the Kentucky Derby
Career Record: 1 win, 2 seconds, and 1 third in 5 starts
Career Earnings: $648,500
Top Beyer Speed Figure: 102 (2025 Kentucky Derby)
Sire: McKinzie

In this article, we further analyze Baeza as part of our series on horses competing in the Belmont Stakes. We will assess his previous performances and how the post position could impact his chances.

Baeza’s Background

The connections of Baeza were eager to see him included in the Kentucky Derby, and his performance showcased his potential. Despite finishing third, Baeza’s effort was impressive, marking him as a strong contender. Initially purchased for $1.2 million, he has shown remarkable progress since his debut race last December and has continued to improve.

Why Baeza Could Win

Baeza’s training regime indicates he is ready to compete fiercely. His half-brother, Dornoch, previously won both the Belmont Stakes and Travers Stakes at this venue. The race’s dynamics also favor him, with projections suggesting he will adopt a strategic run in third position, allowing him to capitalize down the stretch.

Post Draw Insights

After struggling with the outside positioning in the Kentucky Derby, Baeza will leave from post No. 6 in the Belmont Stakes, allowing for a more favorable race strategy.

Stay tuned for updates and expert picks as we approach the race day.