The Boston Red Sox square off against the New York Yankees in the opening game of a three-game weekend series on Friday. Currently, New York (38-23) leads the American League East, while Boston (30-34) sits fourth in the same division. The Yankees have triumphed in five of their last six encounters with their fierce rivals.
- Pitching matchup: Right-hander Walker Buehler (4-3, 4.44 ERA) will take the mound for Boston, facing off against New York’s right-hander Will Warren (3-3, 5.19 ERA).
- Game time: First pitch from Yankee Stadium in New York is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees are favored at -175 on the money line, while the Red Sox are the underdogs at +148. The projected total runs scored stand at 9.
The advanced simulations suggest a strong likelihood of the Yankees winning, with the model favoring them but also suggesting the Red Sox will cover the run line.
Model Predictions
- Yankees ML (-175)
- Red Sox run line +1.5 (-142)
- Jazz Chisholm Over 0.5 total bases (-155)
Recent trends indicate that New York has a 5.5-game lead in the AL East, having won seven of their last ten games and defeated the Red Sox in five of their past six matches. The Yankees have also slightly outscored Boston 32-24 in that spree.
Jazz Chisholm has displayed outstanding performance post-injury, contributing multiple hits in his recent games and being a player to watch for total bases betting.
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