2025 NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 Betting Insights: Top Longshots at Michigan Speedway

SportsLine’s model has simulated the 2025 NASCAR Michigan race 10,000 times and released its auto racing best bets

The NASCAR Cup Series is heading to Michigan International Speedway on Sunday for the 2025 FireKeepers Casino 400, where a few drivers have dominated recent races at this venue. Both Kevin Harvick, who is now retired, and Kyle Larson have strong odds at +525, while Joey Logano is surprisingly reaching longshot odds at +1600, despite having a record of leading 163 laps during his last victory at the track in 2019.

Joey Logano is the standout longshot here at +1600. After registering his first win of the season recently in Texas, he has delivered three consecutive top-20 finishes, including a fourth-place finish last week. Historically, he boasts a 75% top-10 finishing rate from 20 starts in Michigan and is known for his exceptional laps led.

Chase Elliott, the 2020 Cup Series champion, is another strong contender with odds of +2000. His consistency stands out as he has maintained a streak of 17 straight top-20 finishes while he seeks his first career victory at Michigan after three second-place finishes.

Lastly, Carson Hocevar also comes in at +2000, coming off a strong performance that earned him a runner-up finish at Nashville. Being a Michigan native, this race holds added significance for him, and he has shown promise in previous starts at this track.

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