Two contenders in the National League are set to face off as the Chicago Cubs battle the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The series opener saw the Phillies take a win with Brandon Marsh driving in the decisive run in the 11th inning for a 4-3 result. On Tuesday, the Phillies will have Mick Abel (1-0, 0.79 ERA) pitching against the Cubs’ Colin Rea (4-2, 3.59).
Betting lines from Sportsbooks set Abel’s strikeout total at 4.5 (Over -110, Under -112), meanwhile Rea’s is pegged at 3.5 (Over -136, Under +115). The SportsLine Projection Model rates both players’ overs as solid bets, giving them 4-star ratings.
However, the model indicates greater value can be found elsewhere in today’s slate of 15 games, particularly singling out a pitcher strikeout prop rated at 5 stars for its value. Here’s a breakdown of the top props:
Noah Cameron Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-165) vs. Yankees (7:40 p.m. ET)
Rating: 4.5 stars
Model Projection: 5.0 strikeouts
The 25-year-old Kansas City rookie has started his career impressively, holding an 0.85 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 31.2 innings, with a record of 2-1. Despite hitting the over only once in his first five starts, he has shown an ability to rack up strikeouts, including eight against the Twins a few starts back. He faces a Yankees team that has averaged 564 strikeouts this season, ranking among the top 10 in the league.
Carson Palmquist Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-130) vs. Giants (8:40 p.m. ET)
Rating: 4.5 stars
Model Projection: 4.8 strikeouts
Despite struggling this season (0-4, 8.50), the Rockies rookie recently had a stellar outing, tallying eight strikeouts against the Mets. He will contend with a Giants lineup that has struck out 558 times to date.
Mitch Spence Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+114) vs. Angels (9:38 p.m. ET)
Rating: 5 stars
Model Projection: 4.9 strikeouts
This prop is regarded as the best on Tuesday’s slate. Having transitioned to a starting role after 22 appearances from the bullpen, the Athletics right-hander (2-1, 4.09) achieved four strikeouts in his previous start against the Twins. Today, he faces the Angels, who are leading MLB with 631 strikeouts this season.
