The 2025 NBA Finals is moving to Indianapolis on Wednesday night when the Indiana Pacers welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder for Game 3 of the series. Currently tied at 1-1, both teams have shared victories in the opening games played in OKC. The Thunder have dominated much of the series, having led for approximately 91 of the 96 minutes across the first two games. However, thanks to Tyrese Haliburton’s clutch performance and a last-minute resurgence in Game 1, the Pacers find themselves evenly poised, enjoying the home advantage in what is effectively a five-game matchup.

In Game 2, the Thunder took a significant lead in the second quarter and maintained their advantage, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander emerging as the frontrunner for Finals MVP at -550 odds on FanDuel. The NBA’s regular-season MVP scored 72 points with shooting splits of 49/40/90 in the first two games, along with eight assists in Game 2, contributing significantly to OKC’s offensive revival compared to Game 1.

The Pacers have a balanced scoring from eight players who average over 9.5 points in the series, but no individual is exceeding 17 PPG, led by Pascal Siakam. Haliburton managed a quiet outing in Game 2, scoring just five points in three quarters.

Pacers vs. Thunder: Game 3 Details

• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Date: Wednesday, June 11
• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
• TV Channel: ABC
• Live Stream: fubo (Free trial available)
• Odds (from FanDuel): Thunder -5, O/U 228.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been exceptional at home during the playoffs. Conversely, on the road, they have shown some vulnerability with a record of 4-3, featuring a -6.2 net rating. After winning Game 2 decisively, the Pacers are expected to reveal strategic adjustments now that the series returns to Indiana. Under Coach Rick Carlisle, teams often grow stronger through the series as adjustments are made, hinting at a tighter outcome for Game 3.

Predictions: Pacers +5. While Game 2 surpassed the projected point total closing at 230, the majority of scoring occurred late in an already decided contest. Game 1, on the other hand, reflected a lower score at 221 points. Given both teams’ decent three-point shooting thus far, a return to improved defensive play is anticipated as familiarity grows with each game. Especially considering two of the best transition defenses in the NBA are on display, the projected total line is unusually high for a Finals matchup. Pick: Under 228.5 points.

Expect Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with previous scores of 38 in Game 1 and 34 in Game 2, to retain his momentum. Although he typically garners defensive scrutiny, the Pacers have refrained from excessive double-teaming, allowing him substantial opportunities. In Game 1, he shot 30 times. The prevailing strategy appears to allow him his points while focusing on minimizing contributions from other players. No other Thunder starters have reached 20 points in a game yet, showcasing their depth with contributions from Alex Caruso and Aaron Wiggins in Game 2. Provided they manage to maintain this defensive approach towards Gilgeous-Alexander, expect him to surpass over 34.5 points in the upcoming match.