Predictions for NBA Finals Game 7: Thunder vs. Pacers

The first NBA Finals Game 7 in nine years is set for Sunday night

The 2025 NBA championship is set to be decided this Sunday as the Oklahoma City Thunder face off against the Indiana Pacers in a historic Game 7. This marks the NBA’s first Game 7 since 2016, and a title will be at stake for either team. The Thunder aim to secure their first championship since relocating to Oklahoma City, while the Pacers are seeking their first NBA title, having previously won championships in the ABA during the 1970s.

The Pacers earned their way to this decisive game with a commanding victory in Game 6 on Thursday, demonstrating strong defense and a well-balanced attack to secure their spot. With the Thunder playing at home, they are under pressure to perform. Yet, they remain the favorites to win, having had an impressive record at their home court this postseason.

The Thunder have already triumphed in one Game 7 during this playoff series, decisively defeating the Denver Nuggets in the second round last month.

Thunder vs. Pacers: Game 7 Info

Time: 8 p.m. ET | Date: Sunday, June 22
Location: Paycom Center – Oklahoma City
TV Channel: ABC | Live Stream: fubo (Try for free)
Odds (via DraftKings): Thunder -7, O/U 214.5

Game 7 Best Bets

Both teams have strong cases for winning; the Thunder are an impressive +247 in 12 home games this postseason, winning 10 of those. Historical performance matters less as series progress, but the Thunder’s season has demonstrated superiority. However, the Pacers deserve trust based on their recent performances. In the history of eight Game 7s post-merger, all have been decided by fewer than nine points.

The Pacers’ confidence heading into Game 7 is notable; they are likely to handle the pressure well, contrary to expectations for a blowout based on the Thunder’s previous Game 7 results.

The pick: Pacers +7

Historically, point totals in Game 7s often trend lower, with only six of 26 occurring since 2018 exceeding 216 points. But I’m setting aside that norm for this match. Following the Pacers’ impressive comebacks, it’s hard to foresee any nervousness in their play. The Thunder, however, face significant pressure, raising questions about their scoring ability.

The pick: Over 214.5

Lastly, players like T.J. McConnell with a projected points total of just 9.5 present interesting betting opportunities. He has exceeded that in four of his last five games and may find increased minutes due to Tyrese Haliburton’s injury.

The pick: McConnell over 9.5 points