Thunder vs. Pacers Game 7 Preview: Predictions, Odds, and Starting Time
A thorough analysis of the pivotal Game 7 in the 2025 NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers, including predictions and betting lines.
A champion will be determined today as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals. This marks the 20th Game 7 in Finals history, being the first since the Cavaliers’ remarkable upset against the Warriors in 2016. The Pacers clinched a solid victory in Game 6, winning 108-91 at home, showcasing a comprehensive team effort with a lead stretching to 31 points.
The game at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set to begin at 8 p.m. ET, with the Thunder favored to win by 7 points, as per the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, and an over/under of 214.5 total points. To get insights on the game, you may want to check out the predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times and has yielded significant profits for bettors in the last six years, returning over $10,000 for those wagering $100 on its top-rated picks. With a record of 160-118 on NBA picks this postseason, nearly $4,000 in profit can be attributed to diligent testers.
Check the projected Thunder vs. Pacers odds and their respective betting lines:
| Matchup | Betting Line |
|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Pacers spread | Oklahoma City -7 at DraftKings |
| Thunder vs. Pacers over/under | 214.5 points |
| Thunder vs. Pacers money line | Oklahoma City -265, Indiana +215 |
Why the Thunder can cover:
The Thunder have performed well at home, covering the spread over 70% of their games, finishing with a 36-15-2 (70.6%) record as home favorites this season. They have been particularly strong in their last six home wins, losing only once during this stretch in Game 1 of the Finals against Indiana. Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been outstanding in the Finals, averaging 34.3 points, four rebounds, and seven assists, adding motivation to lead his team to a historic championship victory.
Why the Pacers can cover:
Having played as underdogs throughout the Finals series, the Pacers are keen to deliver a shocking upset following their win in Game 1 in Oklahoma City. Leading into Game 6, Tyrese Haliburton showcased strength coming off the bench, proving vital for his team. Pascal Siakam’s experience has also played a critical role, contributing significantly throughout the series. Despite facing injuries, the Pacers are 14-8 against the spread during the playoffs this year.
How to make Thunder vs. Pacers picks:
With over 60% success rate on one side of the spread based on simulations, insights from the SportsLine model indicate a predicted total exceeding 221 points. To explore the model’s prediction, visit the SportsLine betting predictions page.
