In the crucial game at Citizens Bank Park, the first place in the National League East is at stake as the New York Mets prepare to face the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball. The Mets recently broke a seven-game skidding streak by defeating the Phillies 11-4.
Pitching Match-Up:
The Mets will start left-handed pitcher David Peterson (5-2, 2.60 ERA) while the Phillies will send left-hander Jesus Luzardo (6-3, 4.41 ERA).
The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET. As per DraftKings Sportsbook, Philadelphia is favored at -119 (risking $119 to win $100), while the Mets are underdogs at -102 (risking $102 to win $100) with an over/under of 9 runs. Pete Alonso is priced at +270 for a home run, and Alec Bohm is at +160 for 2+ hits.
Top Bets from the Model:
- Phillies ML (-114)
- Phillies run line +1.5 (-186)
- Brandon Nimmo over 0.5 total bases (-187)
Prediction
The Phillies have excelled recently, winning three out of their last four games and eight of their last ten. Meanwhile, New York has been struggling, dropping seven of their last eight contests. The model gives Philadelphia an over 50% win probability, suggesting value at the current line. With the Phillies at home and their strong offense, this matchup is one to watch.
