The St. Louis Cardinals are set to take on the Chicago Cubs in the final matchup of their weekend series on Sunday Night Baseball. After an 8-6 victory for St. Louis on Saturday, having lost the Friday opener 11-3, the stakes are high.

Erick Fedde (3-8, 4.56 ERA) will start for the Cardinals, opposed by Cubs’ Matthew Boyd (8-3, 2.65 ERA). The first pitch at Wrigley Field is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Chicago is favored at -225 while St. Louis sits at +181. The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.

The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times and suggests strong value in two bets here:

• Cubs ML (-225)
• Cardinals run line +1.5 (-125)

Additionally, expect Matthew Boyd to surpass 4.5 strikeouts; he’s performed well lately, hitting over this mark in most of his starts this season.

The model indicates the Cubs winning the game with a coin flip probability for the Cubs covering the spread consistently.