
Zay Flowers: A Promising Fantasy Outlook with Potential Limitations
An analysis of Zay Flowers' potential breakout in the upcoming fantasy football season while addressing the challenges he may face.
Overview of Zay Flowers
Zay Flowers, the speedy third-year receiver for the Ravens, has shown his potential but struggles with inconsistency in his stats. Despite being a formidable player, his performance is hindered by the team’s run-heavy strategy.
The Ravens’ Strategy
The Baltimore Ravens have consistently emphasized a run-first approach, which limits passing opportunities and affects receiver performances. Since Lamar Jackson became their quarterback, the team has maintained a low pass rate and fewer attempts per game. Below is a summary of their annual pass rate since Jackson took over:
Year | Pass % | Attempts/Game |
---|---|---|
2024 | 47.50% | 28.1 |
2023 | 49.70% | 29.1 |
2022 | 50.60% | 27.2 |
2021 | 54.60% | 31.8 |
2020 | 44.10% | 25.4 |
2019 | 44% | 27.5 |
Statistics are affected by the games Jackson started
Fewer Opportunities
Only a few receivers perform well on teams that pass less than the league average. In the last decade, only four wide receivers with 50-plus targets have finished in the top 12 for points per game on such teams. The trend shows that the fewer times a team throws, the lesser the opportunity for receivers to score points, evident from Flowers’ past seasons.
Outlook
While Monken has expressed intentions to get Flowers the ball more this season, the competition among teammates, particularly with Derrick Henry and Mark Andrews, may limit his opportunities. The overwhelming talent in the team can both enhance their prospects but also complicate how much Flowers can shine. The ultimate takeaway for fantasy players is to remain cautious about expecting a breakout year from Flowers given the structural constraints of the Ravens’ game plan.