The leading teams in the National League come head-to-head today as the Milwaukee Brewers face off against the Philadelphia Phillies in their first game of a three-match series. With a record of 85-53, Milwaukee currently boasts the best in MLB, leading by 6.5 games over the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central despite a recent 6-8 slide.
The Phillies (79-58) are six games in front of the New York Mets in the NL East, but have struggled on the road this season, posting a record of 34-35, losing seven of their last nine away games.
Both teams are aiming to bounce back from losses that prevented them from wrapping up series victories. The Brewers squandered a two-run lead on Sunday, falling to the Toronto Blue Jays with a score of 8-4, while the Phillies let a late lead slip away against the Atlanta Braves, who scored in the eighth and ninth to win 3-1.
Milwaukee’s lineup features All-Star right-hander Jacob Misiorowski (4-2, 4.33 ERA), who despite being winless in his last five games managed to strike out 10 batters in his previous outing against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
On the other hand, the Phillies will start Taijuan Walker (4-7, 3.63), who has struggled since returning to the rotation.
Top sportsbooks have listed the total strikeouts props for Walker at Over -166, Under +125 with a line set at 2.5, while Misiorowski’s are 6.5 (Over +110, Under -142).
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, rates Walker’s Over 2.5 strikeouts prop as a 4.5-star play, while suggesting Misiorowski’s Under 6.5 is a 3.5-star play.
However, the model has identified two other pitcher strikeout props rated at 5 stars and one at 4.5 stars:
Kai-Wei Teng Under 3.5 strikeouts (+113) vs. Rockies
Rating: 5 stars
Model projection: 1.4 strikeouts
All the best for his match today!
Kyle Bradish Over 4.5 strikeouts (-101) vs. Padres
Rating: 5 stars
Model projection: 6.2 strikeouts
Dylan Cease Under 7.5 strikeouts (+108) vs. Orioles
*Rating: 4.5 stars
Model projection: 6.4 strikeouts
Keep an eye on these matchups to maximize your betting strategies!
